Unstable forecasts
Inaccurate, sales-led forecasting and disconnected local planning drive constant changes — and an unstable production plan that’s reworked again and again.
Industry Solution · Industrial Manufacturing
Probabilistic AI for production and supply planning, multi-echelon inventory optimization, and S&OP — stabilize production plans and free working capital across complex, multi-tier manufacturing networks, even when demand is volatile and supply is unstable.
Overview
In industrial manufacturing, 15–35% of revenue is committed to inventory and work-in-progress long before demand is certain. Plan with deterministic forecasts, static safety stocks, and monthly S&OP cycles and you lock in the wrong bets — overstocking slow components while critical materials run short, driving stockouts, excess inventory, idle production lines, and premium freight to recover — all while long, multi-tier supplier lead times and complex BOMs amplify every error. ToolsGroup’s manufacturing supply chain planning software closes that gap with range-based probabilistic forecasting and decision intelligence that models every constraint — from probabilistic lead times to lot sizes and BOM dependencies — for feasible production and supply plans. It continuously steers demand, supply, and service toward your financial targets, keeping lines running and improving on-time-in-full (OTIF) delivery while freeing the capital trapped in inventory and WIP.
Aggregate outcomes across ToolsGroup customers in industrial manufacturing and multi-tier production networks.
99 %+
Product availability
40 %
Reduction in inventory
50 %
Cut in overtime and expedites
90 %
Less planner workload
Across automotive, industrial equipment, HVAC, building products & consumer goods
When demand is volatile, supply is unstable, and BOMs are complex, legacy planning keeps teams firefighting — eroding service, inventory efficiency, and margin all at once.
Inaccurate, sales-led forecasting and disconnected local planning drive constant changes — and an unstable production plan that’s reworked again and again.
Volatile demand and disrupted supply — component shortages, long lead times — push teams to hold inventory as insurance, inflating working capital.
Production and procurement choices are made without seeing their impact on service, inventory, and margin later in the lifecycle.
Production, inventory, and service decisions are optimized independently, creating hidden trade-offs that surface later as cost, expediting, or missed commitments.
Inflation, tariffs, and global disruption drive up costs, while competition from sector giants pressures prices — squeezing margin from both sides.
Every capability runs on Decion, ToolsGroup’s agentic decision intelligence platform — production, supply, and inventory planning unified in one self-steering system, with pre-built ERP and WMS connectors.
AI-powered probabilistic forecasting at the SKU-location level that creates stable production and supply plans even when demand is variable, project-based, or make-to-order.
Probabilistic Demand Forecasting : Probabilistic demand forecastingIntegrated production and supply planning with APS aware of capacity, calendars, and constraints — modeling probabilistic lead times, lot sizes, and BOM dependencies for feasible, executable plans.
Supply Planning : Constraint-aware production & supply planningService-driven MEIO that drives to targets while optimizing the stock mix of components, subassemblies, and WIP across a complex, multi-tier network.
Multi-Echelon Inventory Optimization : Multi-echelon material positioningWhat-if scenario planning with financial-impact analysis, so you can weigh cost, margin, and service trade-offs before geopolitical or supply shocks hit operations.
S&OP : Scenario-driven response planning & S&OPShape channel and promotional demand with full visibility into component availability and plant capacity — driving revenue without creating stockouts or excess.
Demand Shaping : Inventory-aware demand shapingOptimized material replenishment and rebalancing across plants, DCs, and depots and advanced price break analysis— maximizing working capital efficiency.
Replenishment : Automated replenishment & rebalancingTraditional planning is deterministic — a single forecast, fixed lead times, and static safety stock. That works when demand is steady. In manufacturing, it rarely is.
Demand is lumpy — project-based, engineered-to-order, or driven by OEM order patterns — while frequent new product introductions (NPIs) and model changes keep disrupting historical forecasts, and every forecast change forces planners to rework the whole plan. Layer on long, multi-tier supplier lead times and complex BOMs, and small errors cascade into idle lines, premium freight, and missed delivery commitments. Deterministic plans look precise, then break the moment reality deviates.
Probabilistic planning models the full range of demand and supply outcomes — including the variability in lead times and BOM components — instead of one fragile number. It produces stable, feasible production plans that anticipate variability rather than react to it — the foundation Decion builds on, across constraint-aware production planning, multi-echelon material positioning, and agentic AI.
In the Gartner® Magic Quadrant™ for Supply Chain Planning Solutions, 2026, ToolsGroup is noted for the strength of its probabilistic approach to managing demand and supply uncertainty — the core challenge facing manufacturers.
Also recognized: 4.5★ Gartner Peer Insights
Built for manufacturers
The hard part of manufacturing planning — volatile and project-based demand, long multi-tier lead times, complex BOMs, multi-echelon networks — is the same whatever you build. A few sectors where we have customers today:
Bearings, motion, and capital-equipment manufacturers planning components, subassemblies, and WIP across multi-tier global networks.
Kitchen, bath, shading, and building-system manufacturers balancing seasonality, long portfolios, and complex BOMs.
Branded consumer-goods and durables manufacturers managing promotions, seasonality, and complex multi-market distribution.
Tool and hardware manufacturers planning broad product portfolios across global plants and 100+ markets.
Packaging and materials producers managing long lead times, capital-intensive production, and tight service commitments.
Project-based and configure-to-order manufacturers stabilizing lumpy, engineering-driven demand and constrained capacity.
Don't see yours? If you run a complex, multi-tier production network, the planning challenge is the same — and so is the fit.
Customer proof from production operations spanning industrial equipment, building products, and packaging.
Analyst reports, guides, case studies, and webinars on probabilistic forecasting, MEIO, and S&OP for complex manufacturers.
Questions buyers ask about manufacturing planning software.
Talk to a specialist who understands multi-tier production networks.