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Posts by Stefan de Kok
Stefan is a supply chain innovator and a domain expert in forecasting, planning and scheduling. He has dedicated the last 15 years to developing and promoting probabilistic versions of these areas. He is an active blogger and speaker on these topics and provides consulting and training services.
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Probabilistic Planning and Forecasting Demystified

16 March 2021

This post was originally published at https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/primer-probabilistic-planning-forecasting-stefan-de-kok/ I have been blogging and advocating for the past 15 years on probabilistic approaches to planning and forecasting, and am happy to see in the last few years it has finally started gaining[...]

11 November 2014

Demand Modeling Part 2 – Separating the Signal from the Noise

It is impossible to generate a perfect demand forecast. What makes it impossible is noise—seemingly random or arbitrary fluctuations in demand. Noise is not forecastable. Many times, when planners manually adjust the forecast, they are trying to predict the noise that[...]